The government’s anti-inflation package does not convince the Portuguese, and the PS is losing interest in voting. An Intercampus poll for CM, CMTV and Jornal de Negócios shows an approach to PSD, closing the distance for the António Costa-led party.
For the PS in September, the number of votes fell to 30.6%, while for the PSD it recovered to 24.7%. In August, the difference between the two largest parties was more than 10 percentage points, and this month the difference has narrowed to less than six percentage points.
Despite internal struggles, Chega is consolidating as the third force in terms of voting intentions with 9.2%, ahead of the Liberal Initiative (5.2%) and Block de Esquerda (5.2%). The CDU maintains historically low voting intention (2.9%), slightly higher than PAN (2.5%) and Free (1.8%).
PS has a majority in parliament, but the right is gaining strength to vote. The SDP and the Liberal Initiative are almost on an equal footing with the party that heads the government. And with Chega, the scenario of a right-wing parliamentary majority is likely.
Data sheet
Sample selection
House selection was made by randomly generating landline/mobile phone numbers. At home, the selection of the respondent was carried out by the method of sex and age quota (3 groups). The quota matrix by region (NUTSII), sex and age has been prepared based on data from the Electoral Census of Portugal (December 31, 2020) of the General Directorate of Internal Administration (DGAI).
Collection of information
The information was collected during a telephone interview in complete confidentiality using the CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) system. The questionnaire was prepared by INTERCAMPUS and later approved by CMTV. INTERCAMPUS employs a team of experienced professionals who know and respect the company’s quality standards. Twenty-one interviewers were recruited, suitably trained for this purpose, under the supervision of the technical staff responsible for the survey. Field work took place from 9 to 15 September 2022.
Error
The maximum sampling error in this study for a 95% confidence interval is ±4.0%.
Response speed
The response rate obtained in this study was: 62.1%.
Source: CM Jornal
I’m Tifany Hawkins, a professional journalist with years of experience in news reporting. I currently work for a prominent news website and write articles for 24NewsReporters as an author. My primary focus is on economy-related stories, though I am also experienced in several other areas of journalism.