Vila Nova de Gaia And 4th key municipality legislative elections in 2024. It is the most populous area in the Porto district and the third in the entire country. As we move closer to the most valuable key municipalities, a factor that will become increasingly apparent is the number of residents in each municipality and, by implication, the number of voters who will be able to exercise their rights there. In the last two legislative elections, from 2019 to 2022, abstention rates dropped significantly across the territory, fueling expectations for online turnout this year. In 2022, only here in Vila Nova de Gaia voted 164,929 voters is a volume similar to that of all voters in the key municipalities of Guimarães and Vila Nova de Famalicão combined. The municipality of Vila Nova de Gaia manages to be even more decisive than the municipality of Porto in this list of key municipalities – they are the only representatives of the constituency from which they are elected in total. 40 deputies.
Being the most important municipality in the entire district, in 2022 it represented 16.75% all voters. In the last legislative elections, the Socialist Party beat the PSD in the municipality of Vila Nova de Gaia by a very comfortable margin of more than 23,000 votes, which allowed the Socialists to elect one more deputy than the SDP, if only votes in the municipality are taken into account. In the same elections, of all the key municipalities of the country, Vila Nova de Gaia, despite being the fourth most important, was where PSD received 2nd best voice absolute and PS, BE This POT Your third parties best voices.
The winning trend of the votes in Vila Nova de Gaia is quite unstable, and this was observed by equal margins in the local government and legislative elections. This is so true for the municipality that it is now difficult to predict a landslide victory for the PS or SDP in this Sunday’s elections. Since April 25, local and legislative elections were held twelve trend reversals winner between socialists and right-wing parties, whether associated with them or not. Paradoxically, in the last nine legislative elections since 1995, the municipality of Vila Nova de Gaia has voted eight times in the party elected to form the government.
LEGISLATIONS 2022
They were accurate 21 499 votes in the Porto district elect each deputy.
Deputies elected: PS 19, PSD 14, Illinois, BE This HE’S ARRIVING two This CDU onein total in the Porto area.
Only votes in the key municipality of Vila Nova de Gaia in PS (71 590 wishes or 43.41%) This PSD (48 288 wishes or 29.28%) contributed to the election accordingly 3 This two deputies of the Porto district.
What are the key municipalities?
These are municipalities where a large number of voters are expected (more than 70 thousand) and where in the last nine electoral acts (legislative acts) there have been significant changes in the intention to vote for the party with the greatest expression in the municipal plan. These are the municipalities that can make the largest difference in the number of MPs elected from the party that wants to win the 2024 legislative elections. In practice, the party that wins the key municipalities has a high probability of winning the constituency and therefore winning a number of decisive mandates for these elections.
Author: Francisco Penim
Source: CM Jornal
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