Oeiras And 3rd key municipality legislative elections of 2024. It is the second municipality with the greatest purchasing power in Portugal, the fifth in population density, the ninth in the largest number of voters who voted in 2022 and belongs to the district of Lisbon, the electoral district in the country where the majority of people are elected as deputies : are 48. As expected, the race for votes in Portugal’s most populous district is so close that it includes three other key municipalities, including Sintra and Cascais in addition to the capital.
In the last legislative elections in 2022, the PS almost led the PSD in the municipality of Oeiras. 9000 votes, a margin that was still comfortable. Despite this, the votes collected in this municipality provided only one deputy each from the PS and SDP. That same year Oeiras represented 8.26% all voters in the Lisbon district.
To say that it is an extremely unstable key municipality would be a mistake, since, having carefully studied their own organization and motivation, the inhabitants of Oirense have always known how to distinguish between the election of their representatives in municipal and legislative decisions. Since 1979, the municipality has been an untouchable bastion of the right, marked by the inevitable name of Isaltino Morais, president of the city council in nine (!) cases. Paradoxically, after the first legislative elections in 1976, the municipality of Oeiras had already changed the color of the winning party to eight once.
The residents of Oeiras responded strongly to the call to vote, and in 2022, of all the key municipalities, Oeiras had the second highest abstention rate in 2024 (after Guimarães). 33.15%. In the same legislative elections, from all the key municipalities of the country, Oeiras was 3rd with absolute voting, more relevant for FOR FREEABOUT 4th To Initiative Liberal And 6th place For POT.
In the last nine legislative elections since 1995, the municipality of Oeiras has voted Always in the party elected to form the government.
LEGISLATIONS 2022
They were accurate 21 693 The votes in the Lisbon constituency elect each deputy.
Elected deputies: PS 21, PSD 13, Illinois This HE’S ARRIVING four every, CDU This BE two everyone and FOR FREE This POT one each for the entire district of Lisbon.
Only votes in the key municipality of Oeiras PS (35 951 wishes or 36.82%) This PSD (27 141 wishes or 27.8%) contributed to the election 1 deputy for each district of Lisbon.
What are the key municipalities?
These are municipalities where a large number of voters are expected (more than 70 thousand) and where in the last nine electoral acts (legislative acts) there have been significant changes in the intention to vote for the party with the greatest expression in the municipal plan. These are the municipalities that can make the largest difference in the number of MPs elected from the party that wants to win the 2024 legislative elections. In practice, the party that wins the key municipalities has a high probability of winning the constituency and therefore winning a number of decisive mandates for these elections.
Author: Francisco Penim
Source: CM Jornal

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