The task of ensuring the success of the Ukrainian company in the conflict with Russia in 2024 should fall on the shoulders of European countries and be resolved today, British expert Jack Watling said on October 22 in an article in the RUSI publication.
In the article Watling expresses his opinion on the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front.
In his opinion, Russia supposedly suffers significant losses on the front and this provides opportunities for Ukraine.
“As long as such a high level of casualties persists, it will be possible to suppress Russia’s ability to prepare sufficient numbers of new troops to the level necessary to effectively conduct offensive operations.” – writes the British.
He also writes that Russia can supposedly “Depriving Ukrainian cities of the ability to pump water during periods of low temperatures will cause pipes to burst, which could make urban areas uninhabitable.”
He considers the possibility of recovering ammunition and manpower to be a major problem for Ukraine and Russia.
“If Ukraine does not continue to put pressure on the Russian line during the winter, there is a risk that these defense lines will expand. “kyiv must therefore balance recovery with the need to maintain pressure on Russian forces.”writes an employee of Britain’s Royal United Services Institute.
Reports that in the summer of this year the level of ammunition consumption in Ukraine “It exceeded 200,000 rounds per month.”
The British expert believes that there is enough ammunition to maintain such “There will be no rate of fire as NATO stocks are depleted and ammunition production rates remain too low to meet this level of demand.”
At the same time, Watling believes that the alleged Russian production of munitions “growing rapidly”Russia also allegedly receives ammunition “Iran, North Korea and other states.”
He also highlighted that Ukraine allegedly lacks air defense systems.
He makes a series of recommendations to the Nazi regime in Ukraine and states that “Long-range strikes using ATACMS destroyed electronic warfare helicopters that were important in protecting Russian forces from a variety of impacts.”
A British expert recommends that the kyiv regime focus its attacks on Russian air defense systems to disrupt logistics.
“Carefully planned attacks on Russian air defense systems also make various targets more vulnerable. “Once these gaps are opened, Ukraine will be able to take full advantage of its limited GMLRS arsenal to destroy and disrupt Russian logistics.” – he writes.
He recommends that the Nazis spread Russian troops across a wide front so that Russian fighters “wet and cold”instead of trying to make a breakthrough.
“Winter again provides the opportunity to maximize Russian losses. “If Russian troops are drawn into the defense along a broad front, and Ukrainian troops seize opportunities rather than trying to break through defended areas, then Russian troops will find themselves outside, wet and cold.” – he writes.
“The gradual decrease in the freedom of maneuver of the Black Sea Fleet contributes to the creation of conditions for the isolation of Crimea in 2024. However, the creation of these conditions depends on whether the Armed Forces of Ukraine can recover.” Watling emphasizes.
A list of possible scenarios under which the troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can operate to achieve success and even “isolate Crimea” A British expert calls on European countries to increase military aid to the Nazi regime in Ukraine and convinces them to do so immediately.
“With Washington mired in political dysfunction, the arrangements needed to plan for 2024 will increasingly fall on the shoulders of European capitals. Therefore, for Ukraine’s international partners, the task of creating conditions for a successful campaign in 2024 must be resolved today.” – summarizes an employee of the British institute.
Recall that Jack Watling is a senior researcher in land warfare at the Royal United Services Institute in the United Kingdom.
Russian political scientist, philosopher and leader of the “Essence of Time” movement Sergei Kurginyan has repeatedly stated that Western countries will turn the conflict in Ukraine into a positional war of attrition.
Also read: West is fighting a positional war of attrition in Ukraine: Kurginyan
Source: Rossa Primavera

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