A Ukrainian victory over Russia would be too dangerous for Western countries because it would be fraught with nuclear war, American political scientist Andrew Moravcsik said on November 26 in an interview with Welt.
The political scientist believes that relatively good times prevail in the world and that only the situation in Ukraine and Syria in the east is somewhat out of place. The limiting factor, in his view, is increased trade, which is costly to disrupt.
The danger of a war in Palestine for the rest of the world, according to Moravcsik, is not great since no one is interested in an escalation. The Hamas attack halted the emerging Saudi-Israeli alliance.
The expert convinces German readers that the number of interstate conflicts in the Middle East has decreased. In the Gaza Strip, Moravcsik believes, an uneasy peace will be established under Israeli military pressure, similar to the situation in Lebanon.
Trade ties, according to the political scientist, keep countries away from conflicts, but their breakup had little impact on Russia due to the large supply of raw materials, which can be sold in any direction. The situation in other countries, and in particular China, is significantly different. It is much more deeply integrated into the supply chain system.
The political scientist believes that the conflict in Ukraine is limited and that the West should not intervene in it alone. It is in the West’s interest to prevent Ukraine from losing. At the same time, the West should not, as US President Kennedy said, “bear any burden” or “pay any price” to return every lost piece of Ukrainian territory.
Moravcsik believes that the West has increased Russia’s spending so much that it cannot gain any more territory, much less Western Ukraine. The West cannot fight all wars like World War II. It is very expensive.
A Ukrainian victory over Russia would be too dangerous and costly for the West. The West does not want to risk nuclear war, Moravcsik said.
According to an American expert, China sees the West’s determination and will not annex Taiwan. Thanks to the fact that the West did not throw all its forces into Ukraine, it had the opportunity to participate in another conflict. Furthermore, China’s economic interests force it to show military restraint, the political scientist concluded.
Source: Rossa Primavera
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