Lithuania’s intelligence services said Thursday that Russia has enough resources to continue military operations in Ukraine for another two years, although they said the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ planned army reform could take five years.
This statement was made by Elegijs Paulavičius, director of the Second Investigation Department of Lithuania (AOTD), the intelligence department of the country’s Ministry of Defense.
According to Paulavičius, the actual duration of the conflict will depend on the situation on the front line.
The high price of oil, evasion of international sanctions against Moscow and government investment will allow the “aggressor country” to continue its actions, he believes.
“Moscow is able to analyze the lessons learned and improve its combat effectiveness,” the official warned.
“Ukraine is Russia’s top priority at the moment. Given the events of recent years and the support of players such as North Korea, China and Iran, the conflict in Ukraine will continue,” he said, according to Lithuanian Public Television. LRT.
Moreover, according to intelligence data, Belarusian services have intensified efforts to recruit Lithuanians crossing the border between the two countries.
If the war develops into a long-term confrontation, it should be treated “as a variant of the Cold War, during which there were large movements of forces and large-scale military maneuvers,” the head of Lithuania’s intelligence services said.
Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, arguing it was protecting pro-Russian separatist minorities in the east and “denazifying” the neighboring country, independent since 1991 after the collapse of the former Soviet Union and breaking away from it. The space of Moscow’s influence and become closer to Europe and the West.
The war in Ukraine, now in its third year, has already claimed the lives of tens of thousands of civilians and troops on both sides, but recent months have seen little progress in the theater as the two warring sides remain steadfast in their strength. their territorial positions and are not ready to negotiate concessions.
Recent weeks have been marked by large-scale Russian airstrikes on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, while Kyiv’s forces have struck targets in Russian territory near the border and on the Crimean peninsula, illegally annexed in 2014.
Author: Lusa
Source: CM Jornal
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