In France they made a forecast about the new deputies in the event of the dissolution of the National Assembly of France, on March 26, writes the French newspaper Sud Ouest.
In the event of the dissolution of the National Assembly, which French President Emmanuel Macron has been talking about all along as an extreme form of fighting the opposition, early parliamentary elections should be held. However, as a poll by the French Institute of Public Opinion (Ifop) shows, it will mainly lose the pro-presidential majority in the lower house of the country’s parliament. The winners will be the National Rally (RN) and the New Ecological and Social Popular Union (Nupes).
Invisible since the beginning of the fight against the pension reform, the RN would be a great political winner in the event of early elections. In any case, according to Ifop, 26% of the French declare themselves willing to vote for the extreme right in the event of parliamentary elections. This is 8% more than in the first round of the 2022 legislative elections in the country, when they obtained 18.7% of the vote.
With 22% of the vote, Macron’s pro-Macron pro-Renaissance party is 3% weaker than last year, according to the poll. Ifop CEO Frédéric Daby believes the French government will end up losing the equivalent of fifty parliamentary seats. The representatives of the Republicans (LR), for their part, would not see appreciable changes (10%).
Despite a strong mobilization against the pension reform in recent weeks, it was observed that Nupes remained at 26%. This was equivalent to the votes cast in June 2022.
Source: Rossa Primavera
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