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Bet of the week: Will Benfica confirm the recovery or will Braga change the situation?

Another title game. After Benfica-Porto, the contexts have changed, and now it is Benfica-Braga who can carry a lot of weight in the race for the national title. Can Benfica avenge the loss to Pedreira or will Braga’s great moment in the Portuguese league be avenged? Meanwhile, Porto are on the hunt for a difficult trip to fifth-placed Aroca, the sensation of the season. Fascinating trip on the 31st, isn’t it?

We have the first match of the Champions League semi-final ahead of us with Real Madrid and Milan and Inter, two clashes in which it is difficult to understand which is more interesting. In England, United visit the team that has been their executioner of late, and in Italy, José Mourinho’s Roma host Inter in a relentless campaign for a place in the Champions League.

Premier League: a surprise that is no longer a surprise

Thursday, May 4, 20:00


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: Brighton wins. Recent history has been favorable to the gulls of Southern England.

How football is changing. Some time ago it would have been unthinkable to consider Brighton as favorites against the mighty Manchester United, but this is what great betclic odds tell me about this game. Not only that, the most recent entries also make us think about the possibility of a Red Devils defeat in the far south of England.

On the first matchday, in August, the Seagulls went to Old Trafford to win 2-1. A little earlier, at the end of the 2021/22 season, in May, United had already beaten Brighton 4-0, and the last time the two teams met in an FA Cup semi-final in just a few weeks, in the middle at Wembley Stadium, Bruno’s team Fernandes and Diogo Dalota won only on penalties. Brighton, who are still in fifth place and have won three of their last four home games, will now look to build on their recent dominance. AND has everything to do it against an opponent who won only one of the last four trips.

Premier League
Brighton against Manchester United

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Portuguese League: Geese score faster than Algarvians

Friday, May 5, 20:15


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: Team to score first goal: Casa Pia. The Geese scored 1st in 47% of their home games, but the Algarve lost 1st in 73% of games.

Casa Pia’s home games and Portimonense’s away games don’t usually produce many goals. Only in 33% of the receptions of geese there were more than 2.5 goals, as in 40% of the outputs of men from Portimão. Recent results tell us that the Lisbon team is in a bad phase with four defeats and a draw in their last five matches, including two defeats at home, while Portimonense lost in Braga.

Thus, it becomes difficult to predict the outcome of this game, so it is best to keep an eye on strong trends. True, Casa Pia scored first in only 47% of the games in his stronghold, but given the fact that Algarve residents agreed first in 73% of visitsit can be assumed that the hosts will be the first to shake the gate. The Betclic coefficient for this scenario is high.

Portuguese league
Casa Pia against portimonense

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Portuguese League: Potential title game on Lux

Saturday, May 6, 20:30


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: total goals over 3.5.. Benfica scores 2.9 goals per game at home, Braga 2.3 goals away, and only the win matters.

At first it was Benfica – Porto, but with the victory of the dragon, everything mixed up and now it can be a title game. With four games left in the Portuguese league, Benfica need three wins, but there are two games of high difficulty. One at Alvalada against Sporting, the other at home against Braga, who are in the best phase of the season. Will the Reds be able to confirm the rise as they proposed in Barcelos? Will the warriors be able to steal the points from the eagles and start an even more exciting finish line?

Benfica’s first defeat of the season was against Pedreira against Braga with an impressive 3-0 score. By the way, Minho has won two of his last three visits to Luz, but last season they were… smoothed out 6-1. Taking into account these facts, as well as Benfica’s 2.9 goals per game at home and Braga’s 2.3 away, we risk a challenge with over 3.5 goals, as in both sets only the win matters. A strange Betclick is a must.

Portuguese league
Benfica against Braga

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Serie A: few goals expected in Rome

Saturday, May 6, 17:00


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: total goals under 2.5.. Roma score only 1.5 goals at home, Milan 1.3 away.

In the struggle for fourth place, three teams are practically stuck together: Milan, Inter and Roma. The latter two meet in the Italian capital in a decisive game of round 34 that could begin to determine which teams can play in the Champions League next season. And the prognosis is not easy at all.

Roma, which shows quality, especially at home, suffered a kind of heartbreak in the last game at the Olimpico, scoring a goal in stoppage time, but suffered a draw against Milan shortly after. Now they are hosting Inter who seem to be in a good phase but have only won one of their last five matches. Thus, we prefer to look at targets. At home, Roma have only 1.5 goals, away from Milan – 1.3. Betclic odds on goals under 2.5 are good for the multiplier.

Serie A
Pomegranate against Inter

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Portuguese League: A risky game for the dragon in Aroc

Monday, May 8, 21:15


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: total goals under 2.5.. Aroca concedes only 1.1 goals at home, Porto scores only 1.6 goals away.

Aroca is a sensational team in the 2022/23 League, there is no going back. He is in fifth place, with four points more than sixth, and before the loss in the 30th round with Rio Ave, he went from eight games unbeaten, with five wins in between. Armando Evangelista’s team is in good shape and, despite the bad history with Porto (always lost in tricks to the dragon and were defeated 4-0 in the first round), Arukense’s opportunities cannot be ignored.

Added to this context is the fact that the men at home conceded few goals in their stronghold. In 15 receptions, they conceded an average of 1.1 goals per game. At the same time, the “dragons” won several times with the smallest margin at this stage and do not exceed 1.6 goals on the road. More than enough reason for us to have under 2.5 goals. The Betclic coefficient is strong.

Portuguese league
Aroca against Harbor

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Champions League: and predict who will win this one?

Tuesday, May 9, 20:00


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: real double result or draw. De Bruyne may not be at his best, Benzema was resting before this game.

Santiago Bernabéu hosts a real early Champions League final. The current title holder gets what many consider to be the best-fit team in world football, Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City. City’s strength will be tested at home by the “king of champions” and it could be a difficult game for the English. Why?

Everyone recognizes the ability of Erling Haaland or Bernardo Silva, but it is Kevin De Bruyne who “pulls the strings” of all offensive citizen maneuvers and plays a fundamental role in offensive transitions. The Belgian was injured and, even if he plays, he may not be in the best shape. At the same time, Real Madrid rested Karem Benzema in the League game to keep the Frenchman at his best, so it’s more than natural for the striker to score, as he usually does in these games. We think Real Madrid is the favorite at home, but the safest double chance Real/Draw has great odds at Betclic..

Champions League
real Madrid against Manchester

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Champions League: Derby della Madonnina Champions version

Wednesday, May 10, 20:00


Photo: gettyimages

Hint: Milan are winning.. The Milanese showed a strong mentality with Napoli in the Champions League.

Derby della Madonnina in the semi-finals of the Champions League. Yes, we know that it could be Porto or Benfica instead of Inter, but it is the Nerazzurri who will play Milan at the San Siro. With the Rossoneri as hosts, the games between the two teams were regulated by a certain balance, but we see here a slight favoritism of Rafael Leao’s team.

The quarter-final against Napoli saw Milan picking up form and showing a strong personality in Champions League games. In addition, they have won four out of five home games this season, while Inter have won two out of five away games. The Betclic odds on AC Milan’s triumph are not to be missed.

Champions League
Milan against Inter

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Source: CM Jornal

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